Where Obama Hurts Democrats and Loses Independents

by Ken Feltman

Radnor’s analysis of focus groups shows that among voters who are most likely to vote in November, attitudes toward three aspects of President Obama’s style and communications have crystallized:

1. Obama reacts to events too slowly.

2. Obama is too professorial.

3. Obama and his Administration almost always make the more liberal choice.

Regarding the first, likely voters cite numerous examples, with the BP oil spill the most frequently mentioned. A Nevada voter said: “Deliberation is great but there’s not that much time when there’s an emergency.”

The second point grates on likely voters. They suggest that Obama is miscast as president and would be better suited to the college classroom or the judicial bench. A California voter: “He lectures like in the classroom. He’s never run anything and can’t seem to get a hold of his job. Maybe he can be kicked upstairs somehow.”

The third, however, may be the most telling. Likely voters agree that, given two choices, Obama and his Administration seem to shun the moderate position in favor of the more extreme or liberal position. Probe a little deeper and two more things come to light:

1. Moderates who supported Obama in 2008 have decided that they will not support him in 2012 unless the alternatives are toxic (which is possible).

An Illinois voter: “He’s taken the suspense out of it. He always goes left.”

2. Democrats who supported Obama two years ago are frustrated that Obama and his Administration are reflexively to the left of the country.

Whether on illegal immigration, taxes, foreign policy or the New York City mosque, Obama seems out of step with the prevailing view in the country. (NOTE: This analysis was completed before Obama’s weekend comments, and his modification to his comments, on the mosque. Those comments are certain to confuse and confound Democrats and inflame opponents of the proposed location of the mosque.) A Pennsylvania voter: “So many of his policies are in confrontation with the average voter.”

Expect Democratic candidates to put more and more distance between themselves and the president. After November, depending upon the depth of the Democratic House and Senate losses, expect to hear about Democratic alternatives to Obama in 2012. Do not expect Obama to change willingly. Radnor’s White House contacts say that Obama is stubborn and convinced that his opponents are wrong.

About Radnor Reports

Ken Feltman is past-president of the International Association of Political Consultants and the American League of Lobbyists. He is retired chairman of Radnor Inc., an international political consulting and government relations firm in Washington, D.C. Feltman founded the U.S. and European Conflict Indexes in 1988. The indexes have predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election beginning in 1988, plus the outcome of several European elections. In May of 2010, the Conflict Index was used by university students in Egypt. The Index predicted the fall of the Mubarak government within the next year.
This entry was posted in Congress, Ken Feltman, Politics, White House and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Where Obama Hurts Democrats and Loses Independents

  1. Ellie says:

    I still prefer O. The Reps are vicious and mean.

  2. Manesh says:

    Robbie,Excellent work. Very easy to follow ccpneot drawings. This is exactly the type of presentations customers feel most comfortable with as they can sometimes get overwhelmed with in-depth technical drawings. Looks very clean.As to all the negative criticism: any fool can criticise, it takes a pro to able to offer “constructive” criticism. Foundations look fine for the task. Excellent work. Well doneWBMarina and Decking contractor/designer.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s