Obama plans negative campaign if Romney is GOP nominee?

By Ken Feltman

A sour economy takes arrows from the incumbent’s quiver. One of those arrows is President Obama’s ability to go negative against any opponent when a major theme of Obama’s presidency has been to blame Bush (As Ronald Reagan said, “There you go again!”).

The Obama campaign will wound Mitt Romney. But the Obama team will need to destroy Romney because when the economy is the major issue, voters usually take a tarnished newcomer over a tarnished incumbent. Romney’s answer could be as simple as saying, “The economy is a mess and this is the best he can do? Here are my solutions.”

Obama’s 2008 campaign spent money on an uplifting message. When Obama goes negative next year, he will learn that dollars devoted to negative campaigning do not go as far as positive dollars. Many voters react negatively to negative campaigns. So Obama will need every penny of his war chest and then must hope that his Republican opponent makes mistakes.

About Radnor Reports

Ken Feltman is past-president of the International Association of Political Consultants and the American League of Lobbyists. He is retired chairman of Radnor Inc., an international political consulting and government relations firm in Washington, D.C. Feltman founded the U.S. and European Conflict Indexes in 1988. The indexes have predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election beginning in 1988, plus the outcome of several European elections. In May of 2010, the Conflict Index was used by university students in Egypt. The Index predicted the fall of the Mubarak government within the next year.
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