By Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight
As FiveThirtyEight has evolved over the past 10 years, we’ve taken an increasingly “macro” view of polling. By that, I mean: We’re more interested in how the polls are doing overall — and in broad trends within the polling industry — and less in how individual polls or pollsters are performing.
Still, in election coverage, the “micro” matters too. So which pollsters have been most accurate in recent elections?