What Does the New Caspian Sea Agreement Mean For the Energy Market?

By Stratfor Worldview

Leaders from Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan have spent over 20 years trying to negotiate a deal over how to manage the ownership of the Caspian Sea and its surrounding areas. On Aug. 12, in the Kazakh city of Aktau, they finally signed a legal convention. But despite the fanfare surrounding the summit, the agreement will not resolve all of these countries’ complex and contentious debates over the Caspian Sea.

Russia, in particular, will work on the sidelines of the agreement to prevent projects like the Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline from materializing and potentially compromising its energy market position in Europe.

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About Radnor Reports

Ken Feltman is past-president of the International Association of Political Consultants and the American League of Lobbyists. He is retired chairman of Radnor Inc., an international political consulting and government relations firm in Washington, D.C. Feltman founded the U.S. and European Conflict Indexes in 1988. The indexes have predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election beginning in 1988, plus the outcome of several European elections. In May of 2010, the Conflict Index was used by university students in Egypt. The Index predicted the fall of the Mubarak government within the next year.
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