Trump’s stunning consistency

By David Nather and Mike Allen of Axios

For all the four-alarm fires around President Trump this summer — Putin, Mueller and Cohen, oh my! — his approval ratings have barely moved.

Trump’s narrow trading range is both the reason he messages only to his base (no one else is gettable), and the reason he has to keep amping up for the volume for his true believers (he has nowhere else to go).

There are danger signs:

  • The high approval for Mueller in the Washington Post-ABC News poll (63% support his investigation) was sobering for Trump strategists.
  • Only 18% support a pardon for Paul Manafort, despite Trump’s tweeting on behalf of his former campaign chairman: “I feel very badly for Paul Manafort … Such respect for a brave man!”
  • Analyst Matt Miller said 18% is therefore the base of the base — the “stand in the middle of Fifth Avenue and shoot somebody” number.

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About Radnor Reports

Ken Feltman is past-president of the International Association of Political Consultants and the American League of Lobbyists. He is retired chairman of Radnor Inc., an international political consulting and government relations firm in Washington, D.C. Feltman founded the U.S. and European Conflict Indexes in 1988. The indexes have predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential election beginning in 1988, plus the outcome of several European elections. In May of 2010, the Conflict Index was used by university students in Egypt. The Index predicted the fall of the Mubarak government within the next year.
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