By David Murrin, author of Breaking the Code of History
We have often discussed the psychology of national aggression, based on where each party is on their empire cycle. In the case of Britain and Russia, both parties have been going through post regionalization, which represents expansive energy.
Britain’s energy has been focused on a peaceful economic and political expression, but in the process it has neglected its self-defence.
Russia has founded its expansion on pure aggression and force projection. Putin sought to take advantage of the weakness of the Obama administration and that of the EU states, who have to date responded with passivity.
The arrival of Trump has changed Putin’s calculus.