By Nathaniel Rakich and Julia Wolfe of FiveThirtyEight –
Since the election, we’ve made it our mission to uncover the variables that best explain why things shook out the way they did. We’ve already shown you the strong correlation between partisanship and U.S. House results.
We have also pointed out how Republicans won a huge share of rural seats, while Democrats won every single urban seat and many, many suburban seats.
Let’s look at how well educational attainment predicted the 2018 House results, especially among non-Hispanic white voters.