If Trump Is Down In The Polls, Why Do So Many Americans Think He’ll Win?

A FiveThirtyEight chat –

Biden has a decent lead in a number of swing states according to some early polls, yet many Americans don’t believe Trump will lose despite the many, many polls showing Biden ahead. How do we explain this disconnect?
Are voters overreacting to Trump’s win in 2016?  What’s up with voters giving Trump such high odds of beating Biden — 55 percent said they think Trump will win in November according to an average of recent polls.
That’s been relatively consistent over time, too. Do you think that will change, though, if Biden remains in the lead?

About Radnor Reports

Ken Feltman is past-president of the International Association of Political Consultants and the American League of Lobbyists. He is retired chairman of Radnor Inc., an international political consulting and government relations firm in Washington, D.C. Known as a coalition builder, he has participated in election campaigns and legislative efforts in the United States and several other countries.
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