Harry Enten of CNN –
One of the big questions when we look at national polls is whether or not they’re an accurate representation of what is going on at the state level. One of the easiest ways to check is to compare state poll results to the past presidential vote in a given state. I did so for all telephone polls that called cell phones since the beginning of April.
- When we average out these state polls, they suggest that Joe Biden is running about 6 points ahead of Hillary Clinton’s final margin.
- In other words, the state level polls suggest that Biden has a national lead of around 8 points.