By Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight –
Right now, former Vice President Joe Biden has a commanding lead over President Trump. Last week, we unveiled FiveThirtyEight’s polling average for the 2020 presidential election, which adjusts for things like the quality or recency of the poll. (If you’re curious, you can read more about how it’s calculated here.)
And as of Wednesday, June 24,1 Biden leads Trump nationally 50.9 percent to 41.3 percent (a margin of 9.6 points).
Biden’s lead has clearly widened in the past month. He now leads by more than 9 points, but on May 25, Biden led by an average of only 5.8 points (48.9 percent to 43.1 percent).