Category Archives: FiveThirtyEight

In Georgia, Raphael Warnock’s Dog Ads Cut Against White Voters’ Stereotypes Of Black People

Michael Tesler of FiveThirtyEight – If he wins next month, Raphael Warnock may have his pet beagle to thank. So far, Warnock, the Democratic candidate in one of Georgia’s two Senate runoff elections, has aired two ads featuring his dog. … Continue reading

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How popular (or unpopular) is Donald Trump?

An updating calculation of the president’s approval rating, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean. How this works: FiveThirtyEight – An updating calculation of the president’s approval rating, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size … Continue reading

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Polling 101: What Happened To The Polls In 2016 — And What You Should Know About Them In 2020

 Dhrumil Mehta, Michael Tabb and Anna Rothschild of FiveThirtyEight – The results of the 2016 election came as a shock to many Americans. How could Donald Trump win the presidency when he was behind in the polls? As Election Day approaches in 2020, … Continue reading

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Biden is favored to win the election – or isn’t he?

FiveThirtyEight – Editor-in-chief Nate Silver gamed out what would happen to Biden’s chances if he lost Pennsylvania but won other Midwestern states. Want to try out your own hypothetical and see what would happen? Well, now you can!  Continue…

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

FiveThirtyEight – An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Continue…

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