Category Archives: FiveThirtyEight

Election Update: One Way The House Map Actually Helps Democrats

By Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight Turnout can vary pretty dramatically among congressional districts, which is one reason that the partisan breakdown of seats in the House doesn’t necessarily match the results of the national popular vote. The way this usually … Continue reading

Posted in Controversial, Democrats, Donald Trump, FiveThirtyEight, Political parties, Republicans, Thought-Provoking Analysis, United States

How Kavanaugh Will Change The Supreme Court

By Oliver Roeder of FiveThirtyEight Since July, when President Trump announced his most recent nomination to the Supreme Court, FiveThirtyEight has been analyzing the effects of a potential Justice Kavanaugh — a potential that is now reality. Kavanaugh was confirmed … Continue reading

Posted in FiveThirtyEight, Supreme Court

Are Americans Shifting The Rest Of Their Identity To Match Their Politics?

By Perry Bacon Jr. of FiveThirtyEight We generally think of a person’s race or religion as being fixed — and that those parts of identity (being black, say, or evangelical Christian) drive political views. Most African-Americans vote Democratic. Most evangelical Christians … Continue reading

Posted in Elections, FiveThirtyEight, Politics

The odds are about 3 in 4 that the Democrats take back the House next month

FiveThirtyEight’s latest analysis shows Democrats taking control of the House of Representatives on November 6. And if you want more, get your political fix from these FiveThirtyEight predictions and analyses: Is Kavanaugh Helping Republicans’ Midterm Chances? by Nate Silver Democrats … Continue reading

Posted in Big Data, Congress, Democrats, Donald Trump, Elections, FiveThirtyEight, House of Representatives, Political parties, Politics, Republicans, Senate, Thought-Provoking Analysis, United States

How Money Affects Elections

By Maggie Koerth-Baker of FiveThirtyEight To quote the great political philosopher Cyndi Lauper, “Money changes everything.” And nowhere is that proverb more taken to heart than in a federal election, where billions of dollars are raised and spent on the … Continue reading

Posted in Campaign contributions, Finance, FiveThirtyEight, Money, Political parties, Politics