Category Archives: FiveThirtyEight

Can We Tell Which States Will Be Swing States In November?

Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – It’s the holy grail of presidential election campaigns: knowing which states will be decisive in the Electoral College. We have our guesses: States like Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin are widely expected to be among the top swing … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 election, Elections, FiveThirtyEight | Tagged

Do You Know How Divided White And Black Americans Are On Racism?

Ryan Best and Kaleigh Rogers of FiveThirtyEight – After years of high-profile videos of police killing black people — most recently George Floyd — many white people have come to recognize the police brutality and systemic racism that people of color have rallied against … Continue reading

Posted in African-American, FiveThirtyEight, police, Racism, whites

Why It’s Still So Rare For Police Officers To Face Legal Consequences For Misconduct

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, Nathaniel Rakich and Likhitha Butchireddygari of FiveThirtyEight – Former Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin was arrested and charged with third-degree murder and second-degree manslaughter after he was caught on video pressing his knee on George Floyd’s neck for nearly nine minutes, even though … Continue reading

Posted in FiveThirtyEight, police

How can you know which pollsters are the most reliable as we approach the 2020 general election?

Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – So far, it hasn’t been a great year for pollsters. The 2020 presidential primary polls had a weighted average error — i.e., the absolute difference between a poll’s margin (between the top two candidates) and … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 election, Controversial, FiveThirtyEight, polls | Tagged

Where The Latest COVID-19 Models Think We’re Headed — And Why They Disagree

Ryan Best and Jay Boice of FiveThirtyEight – Models predicting the potential spread of the COVID-19 pandemic have become a fixture of American life. Yet each model tells a different story about the devastation to come, making it hard to know which … Continue reading

Posted in Coronavirus, Federal budget, FiveThirtyEight | Tagged