Category Archives: FiveThirtyEight

What More Than 40 Years Of Early Primary Polls Tell Us About 2020

By Geoffrey Skelley of FiveThirtyEight – How much can we learn from early primary polls? Back in 2011, FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-chief Nate Silver set out to answer this question and found that early national polling is at least somewhat predictive of … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 election, Candidates, Democrats, Demographics, FiveThirtyEight, Political parties, polls, Republicans

How Andrew Yang Could Win The 2020 Democratic Primary

By Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – Ever heard of him? Some folks think we might hear a lot about him. Continue reading…

Posted in 2020 election, Democrats, FiveThirtyEight, Politics

What Do We Know About Trump’s Re-election Chances So Far?

From the transcript of a FiveThirtyEight chat – The case against Trump is that he’s pretty darn unpopular. The case for Trump is that the Democratic nominee might be pretty darn unpopular too. Part of the question is whether you … Continue reading

Posted in 2020 election, Donald Trump, FiveThirtyEight

How Two Arcane Clauses In The Constitution Could Expose Trump’s Businesses

By Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux of FiveThirtyEight – Two years into Donald Trump’s presidency, we still know relatively little about the inner workings of his family business, the Trump Organization. But today, a case that could force the company to reveal some … Continue reading

Posted in Constitutional law, Donald Trump, FiveThirtyEight

The Movement To Skip The Electoral College Just Passed A Major Milestone

With Colorado expected to join, the National Popular Vote compact is about to snag its first purple state. By Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – When Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016, it was the fourth time in American history — and the … Continue reading

Posted in Controversial, Elections, FiveThirtyEight