Tag Archives: polls

Trump Campaign Ads Depict His Own Lawless Dystopia

Nick Corasaniti of the New York Times – The ads have a singular goal: to terrify you. Terrify? Yes, mostly if you’re an older, white suburban voter, the kind who has been abandoning President Trump in droves and has contributed to … Continue reading

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Can We Tell Which States Will Be Swing States In November?

Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – It’s the holy grail of presidential election campaigns: knowing which states will be decisive in the Electoral College. We have our guesses: States like Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin are widely expected to be among the top swing … Continue reading

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GOP operatives worry Trump will lose both the presidency and Senate majority

Michael Warren and Ryan Nobles of CNN – A little more than three months ago, as Democrats cast their ballots in the Nevada caucuses, Republicans felt confident about their chances in 2020. The coronavirus seemed a distant, far-off threat. Democrats appeared poised to … Continue reading

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How can you know which pollsters are the most reliable as we approach the 2020 general election?

Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight – So far, it hasn’t been a great year for pollsters. The 2020 presidential primary polls had a weighted average error — i.e., the absolute difference between a poll’s margin (between the top two candidates) and … Continue reading

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Are Older Voters Turning Away From Trump?

Geoffrey Skelley of FiveThirtyEight – There are different “gaps” in American politics, but one that has consistently shown up in recent presidential elections is the age gap. That is, younger voters tend to vote more Democratic and older voters tend … Continue reading

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